Super typhoon intensifies

A super typhoon in the Pacific is gaining even more strength and is forecast to barrel through the Philippines and Taiwan this week before heading to Hong Kong and south China.

Background

A typhoon is a mature tropical cyclone that develops between 180° and 100°E in the Northern Hemisphere. This region is referred to as the North-western Pacific Basin, and is the most active tropical cyclone basin on Earth, accounting for almost one-third of the world's annual tropical cyclones.

Analysis

The typhoon, expected to be closer to south China by the weekend, will bring heavy rains and storm surges on its trail. It can affect as many as 54.2 million people, according to the United Nation’s Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System.

A super typhoon in the Pacific is gaining even more strength and is forecast to barrel through the Philippines and Taiwan this week before heading to Hong Kong and south China.

Mangkhut, classified by the Hong Kong Observatory as a super typhoon, is now forecast to pack maximum winds of 260 kilometers (162 miles) per hour by Friday before gradually weakening. That compares with a reading of 250 kilometers per hour earlier on Wednesday.

Mangkhut entered the Philippines on Wednesday afternoon, just after another storm left. The storm may cause as much as 13.5 billion pesos in damage to crops,  Filipino Agriculture Secretary Emmanuel Pinol wrote on his Facebook account Tuesday.

Assessment

Our assessment is that the Philippines will be majorly impacted by this upcoming typhoon. We believe that with the UN expecting El Nino this year, Typhoon Mangkhut could be the first of many tropical storms in South East Asia this year.